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September 04, 2006
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Ethanol still driving ADM's shares higher

Money Manager Highlight | Archer Daniels Midland Co. | Friday close: $41.99

The pick
Birkelbach owns 10,000 shares of the Decatur-based corn and soybean processor. He has bought his shares over the last three years at an average cost of $30 each. He says the stock could climb above $50 within the next year.

The reasons
ADM is the world's largest corn processor, and its shares have risen 80% over the past 12 months as sales of ethanol, a corn-derived gasoline additive, soared. "There's tremendous demand for switching from oil to biofuels," Mr. Birkelbach says.

Global demand, especially from China, for a range of raw materials the company processes, such as soybeans, corn and wheat, will continue to fuel growth.

The risks
The company would be hurt by a drop in commodity prices. ADM uses futures contracts to hedge against risk, such as a drought driving up the cost of corn or wheat. If it bets wrong on its contracts, it would be stung.

©2006 by Crain Communications Inc.

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