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New York:
US stock investors will be taking their cues this week from a barrage
of earnings reports as well as from economic data on housing activity
and sales of big-ticket items.
When it comes to
deciphering earnings reports, "it's all about the outlook," said John
Buckingham, chief investment officer and portfolio manager for the Al
Frank Funds.
He noted that Apple
last Wednesday posted a 78 per cent increase in profits and said it
sold more than 21 million iPods. But skittish investors sent the stock
lower after the company forecast that profit in the next quarter would
fall short of expectations.
Among the hundreds of
companies reporting earnings this week will be Pfizer, Johnson &
Johnson and Abbott Laboratories in the drug sector, Bank of America and
Wachovia from the US roster of banks, and DuPont, with its blue-chip
industrial pedigree.
Pfizer's results are due tomorrow and
Abbott Laboratories' earnings are set for Wednesday, with Bank of
America, Wachovia, J&J and DuPont all on Tuesday.
In addition to
reporting quarterly earnings, Pfizer has also promised results of a
review of its "strategic direction" with investors anticipating major
changes under new chief executive Jeffrey Kindler.
"Companies made money
in the second quarter and the third quarter," said Michael Cuggino,
president and portfolio manager of the Permanent Portfolio Funds in San
Francisco. "I suspect for the most part, they're going to continue to
report pretty good results for the fourth quarter."
Cuggino believes the
fourth-quarter results will continue the long string of double-digit
increases, but the year-over-year gains may be in the high
single-digits when 2007 results come out.
According to Reuters
Estimates, fourth-quarter earnings for companies in the Standard &
Poor's 500 are expected to rise 9.7 per cent over a year ago. The
calculation includes actual numbers for companies that have reported
earnings and estimates for the remainder.
Carl Birkelbach, chief
executive of Birkelbach Management in Chicago, thinks investors may be
in for some disappointments this week.
"Whereas last year the
market went up as a whole, it is now going to be more mixed, more
rotational. You're going to have to be in the right industries at the
right time," Birkelbach said.
Among the economic
data on the radar this week will be existing home sales on Thursday and
new home sales on Friday. Durable goods orders are also scheduled for
Friday.
A Reuters poll shows
economists on average forecast sales of existing homes in December were
at a 6.25-million-unit annual rate, down slightly from 6.28 million in
November.
Sales of new homes in December are forecast at 1.05 million units, essentially in line with the previous month.
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