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COMEX gold ends down from 18-yr high on fund
sales
Wed Oct 12, 2005 02:50 PM ET NEW YORK, Oct
12 (Reuters) - U.S. gold futures retreated on Wednesday, after
prices earlier spiked to a new 18-year peak, as fund profit-taking
emerged to cap the market's rally below $480 an ounce, for now, said
traders and analysts.
Benchmark December delivery gold (GCZ5: Quote,
Profile,
Research)
tumbled $3.20 to finish at $476.60 an ounce on the New York
Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division, after trading from a contract
high of $483.10 which was also the loftiest for futures since
January 1988, to a session low of $475.80.
Profit
taking slammed gold by midmorning, taking several dollars off the
price. It looked as though one large investment fund was either
liquidating long positions or doing fresh short selling, according
to floor dealers in New York.
Carl Birkelbach of Birkelbach Management Inc. in Chicago said,
"It has fallen off a little bit here, as I think it's going to do"
at times before it eventually hits a $500 over the next few months.
"It's the same old story supporting gold -- it's inflation, with
current high oil prices -- but it also a new story that is
building," he said, referring to growing concerns among investors
about U.S. economic growth and geopolitical issues like the ongoing
war in Iraq.
Gold, which is seen as one of the classic "hard assets" investors
turn to in times of uncertainty, has risen about 8 percent this
year, based on the nearby COMEX futures contract.
That compares with a more traditional investment such as the
S&P 500 Index , which has lost 2.8 percent over the same period.
"There is a higher level of economic uncertainty out there
superimposed on some traditional seasonal strength at this time of
the year, so I'm not altogether surprised by the current activity,"
said Geoff Stanley, precious metals and minerals analyst at BMO
Nesbitt Burns in New York.
But, Stanley cautioned that a huge fund net long position on
COMEX, which has hit a record high, could set the market up for a
sell-off if there was disappointing news on gold or a shift in
concerns about oil, currencies or the economy.
Both Birkelbach and Stanley said that gold probably would trade
between about $450 and $500 over the intermediate term.
One COMEX trader said he viewed chart support in December gold at
$475.20 and then at levels down to $468, with resistance seen up at
$484.50.
Spot gold shot to an 18-year high of $480.25 an ounce early
Wednesday but later fell to $472.25/3.00 in New York, versus a prior
close of $476.60/7.40. Wednesday's London afternoon fix by bullion
dealers was at $475.10.
Gold has been rallying in many currencies, as well as against an
old rival, the dollar. It scaled a record high in euro terms
(XAUEUR=R: Quote,
Profile,
Research)
at 401.41 euros per ounce and a 12-year high in sterling at 275.82
British pounds per ounce (XAUGBP=R: Quote,
Profile,
Research)
.
In the past, gold has kept a tight inverse link to the dollar,
with a stronger greenback usually making the dollar-denominated
metal less attractive to investors.
Final estimated COMEX gold volume was 75,000 contracts, up from
40,730 lots on Tuesday. Open interest rose 739 contracts to 370,844
lots as of Oct. 11.
Other metals recently supported by the rising tide of investment
in gold also slipped back with the yellow metal late on Wednesday.
COMEX December silver (SIZ5: Quote,
Profile,
Research)
fell 3.7 cents to $7.838 an ounce, trading from $7.80 to $7.925. The
market has hovered near a 10-month high and traders felt it could
target the $8 level.
Spot silver slipped to $7.74/76 an ounce from $7.81/84 at
Tuesday's close. The fix was $7.845.
On the board at NYMEX, January platinum (PLF6: Quote,
Profile,
Research)
ended off $2 at $945.50 an ounce after futures earlier hit their
highest since April 2004 at $951. Spot platinum last was at
$942/945 -- touching a 25-year peak.
December palladium (PAZ5: Quote,
Profile,
Research)
was the only gainer, up $2.70 at $215.40 an ounce, and not far from
a seven-month high touched earlier at $215.70. Spot was stable
at $208/212.
NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq and
all other quotes delayed by at least 15 minutes. Reuters does not
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provider.
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